(File image) Sir Keir Starmer might not enjoy the findings of this latest poll
New polling would suffer a battering at the ballot box from Reform UK at the next election with ‘s party potentially winning 120 seats.
The new research by political strategy firm Stonehaven for also gives a doom-laded prediction for the Prime Minister that his own party would lose 134 seats, plummeting down to 278, which would not be enough to hold a majority in Parliament.
The shocking new data, described a “mega-poll” of 17,000 people, mirrors a trend found just days ago by another poll by the think tank More in Common which claimed Reform UK would .
According to The i Paper, the latest polling, which was carried out since the General Election with newest recordings in December, found that former Conservative voters who voted Labour for the first time in 2024 would now cast their ballot for Reform.
Dubbed “hero voters” by Labour, if these people switched to Reform UK at the next election it could scupper the majority of the Prime Minister’s plans which he has repeatedly said are based on 10 years in power, with a workable majority.
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Nigel Farage look set to be a major force at the next election, if polling trends continue
The Stonehaven research found that 55% those deciding to back Reform UK over Labour cited immigration and border control as a top priority, this was followed by the ‘health and state of the NHS’ with 47%, and then rising food prices with 46%.
The soaring cost of energy bills was said to be a main reason for leaving Labour by 32% of responders.
Luke Betham, head of data science at Stonehaven, said the Government will have to show it has a plan to convince voters to come back after the General Election in July.
He said: “Immigration is the key issue that is driving them away from Labour… Labour should start by focusing on where these voters are, not where the party wants them to be.
“The change that was voted for at the last election cannot be realised, in their minds, unless immigration is part of the Government’s delivery narrative come the next election.”
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Keir Starmer and his wife Victoria voting
Labour’s Dover and Deal MP Mike Tapp, who holds a 7,000 vote majority over Reform, told The i Paper his party did “inherit open borders from the “.
He added: “We know that this matters to voters and it matters to us too, border security is a part of our national security and that is why it is a fundamental part of our plans to rebuild the country.”
So far Sir Prime Minister has ignored recent abysmal polling for Labour and his own declining popularity, saying he will be judged at the next general election.
A petition calling for a re-run of the general election, now signed by more than three million people, will not lead to another election but will get renewed attention when MPs debate it in January.