Incredible graph shows how Nigel Farage could become prime minister in 2029

A pollster has set out a scenario which could see enter 10 Downing Street.

Martin Baxter of Electoral Calculus used a graph to show how many seats the polling company predicts Reform UK would win with different vote shares.

He said that if the rebranded Party secures 28% of the vote share it could become the largest party in the House of Commons Commons.

Under such a scenario, the architect could become prime minister with Tory support.

Mr Baxter told GB News: “The graph here is showing the number of seats that Reform will win, under our predictions, against the vote share they get.

Nigel Farage

Reform leader Nigel Farage (Image: Getty)

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“But the interesting thing is that at the moment they’re on 15% support and just five seats.

“If they can get up to 25% support in the polls, they get about 100 seats.

“The really interesting thing for the year ahead is if they do a bit better than 25%, if they can push through that, they might or they might not, but if they get up to 28%, it’s only slightly more than that, they’re actually the largest party in the House of Commons.

“And might be the Prime Minister with Conservative support.”

Mr Baxter said Labour, which has seen support nosedive since July’s election, and the are both currently on an average of 26% in their polling, while Mr Farage’s insurgent party is on 22%.

It comes after Reform overtook Sir ‘s party in a national poll for the first time earlier this month.

The party has been building momentum with a series of key defections from the and passing the milestone of 100,000 members.

The next general election is not due to take place until 2029.

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