New UK map reveals 220 seats Reform would win in election held today

would win 220 seats if a was held today, according to a new projection that shows party leading the pack.

The data, based on a , suggests has surged ahead of both and the .

And a striking map, shared by on X, paints a vivid picture of Reform’s dominance across large parts of the country.

It shows the party making sweeping gains, particularly in the Midlands and the North, where strongholds of both and the appear to be crumbling.

The map shows Labour projected to win 160 seats – a huge drop of 251 compared to previous results. The are expected to secure just 105 seats, while the Liberal Democrats are on track for 79.

According to the latest Westminster voting intention figures, sits at 25%, up two points from the previous week.

Labour follows closely with 24%, down three points, while the have slipped to 21%, down one point. The Liberal Democrats are holding steady at 14%, with the Greens at 9%.

Reacting to the poll, Farage said on X: “Breaking news. Reform UK are now leading with YouGov for the first time. Britain wants Reform.”

This marks the first time Reform has topped a YouGov national poll.

The survey of 2,223 British adults also found that Reform is pulling in nearly one in four voters who backed the at the last election.

Meanwhile, Labour is struggling to hold onto its support, with only 60% of its 2019 voters saying they would vote for the party again.

Anthony Wells, head of European political and social research at YouGov, told : “We’ve had Labour and Reform extremely close over all our polls so far this year, and this survey shows a narrow Reform lead.

“While it remains within the margins of error, it reinforces the fact that Reform is roughly equal in support with Labour, with slipping back again.”