UK manufacturing shrinks at fastest rate as job cuts hit 10 month high

An employee works on an engine production line at a Ford factory in Dagenham

UK factory output contracted at the fastest rate in 11 months in December, amid a swathe of job (Image: Getty)

has been dealt a fresh blow as factory output in Britain contracted at the fastest rate in 11 months last month amid a swathe of job losses.

Concerns about rising business taxes and a worsening global also saw the S&P Global UK manufacturing PMI survey record a reading of 47.0 in December, from 48.0 in November.

A reading above 50 indicates activity is growing while any score below means it is contracting. The survey found the rate of job cuts hit a 10-month high, with firms reporting that weak market conditions had caused many to reduce headcounts.

Meanwhile, company confidence fell to a two-year low, amid concerns about inflationary pressures, rising business costs and potential weaker economic growth this year.

Manufacturers said they were concerned about future cost increases, partly driven by rising taxes announced by the Chancellor.

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UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer Visits Carbon Capture Project

Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves’ plan to turbo-charge growth has taken another hit. (Image: Getty)

The findings add to the economic gloom surrounding the Labour Government. Official figures show , despite Prime Minister Sir ‘s general election pledge to turbo-charge the economy.

Instead, companies will pay more in National Insurance contributions (NICs) from April, and the minimum wage is also set to rise, making it more expensive to employ people.

Firms also cited a weakening global economic outlook, as exports fell due to lower demand in Europe, Asia and the UK.

Concerns also remain about the outlook for global trade in 2025, with US president-elect entering the White House later this month having promised a slew of .

Rob Dobson, Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: “A stalling domestic economy, weak export sales and concerns about future cost increases led to the steepest contraction of UK manufacturing production for almost a year in December.

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Business sentiment is now at its lowest for two years. (Image: Getty)

“Manufacturers are facing an increasingly downbeat backdrop. Business sentiment is now at its lowest for two years as the new Government’s rhetoric and announced policy changes dampen confidence and raise costs at UK factories and their clients alike. SMEs are being especially hard hit during the latest downturn.

“This is sending a winter chill through the labour market. December saw the sharpest cuts to staffing levels since February.

“Some companies are acting now to restructure operations in advance of the rises in employer national insurance and minimum wage levels in 2025.”

However, some economists remain optimistic about manufacturing in 2025. Elliot Jordan-Doak, a senior economist at the consultancy Pantheon Macroeconomics, said: “Businesses have been rocked by domestic policy changes in the form of NICs hikes, and external shocks in the form of the threat of a global trade war.

“But, the budgetary plans are for more spending than taxation, which will mechanically lift the PMI. What’s more, the focus on investment in the Budget should help the manufacturing sector.”

He pointed to expectations the Bank of England will likely cut the base several times this year, which will reduce borrowing costs and “should boost sentiment”.

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