Labour would lose over 100 seats in an election, according to Nowcast
A shocking new map shows the 100-plus seats the and could lose in the next .
Nowcast, which brings together polling from across the country, has projected major losses for Labour if a General Election were to take place today, with the to see huge gains.
The model has predicted that Labour will lose 117 seats, dropping their total to 294, but still enough to form a government. It also expects the to gain 78 seats, bringing them significantly closer on 199.
is projected to do well from Labour’s loss of seats, gaining 25 to bring their total to 30. This would make them bigger than the , Greens and Plaid Cymru together.
Tory gains seem to be focused in the south, east and Midlands of England, while Reform may do well around the Thames Estuary.
Latest Nowcast sees post-election highs for Reform & the SNP, as CON & LAB slip:LAB: 294 (-117), 27.1%CON: 199 (+78), 26.0%LDM: 69 (-3), 11.7%RFM: 30 (+25), 21.0%SNP: 22 (+13), 2.6%GRN: 4 (=), 7.6%PLC: 3 (-1), 0.6%Others: 10 (+5), 3.4%
— Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK)
Nowcast predicts the will lose three seats, bringing them to 69, and the will gain 13, bringing them to a total of 22.
Under this electoral projection, Labour will get 27% of the national vote, with the only marginally behind with 26%.
This comes after it was revealed Labour has lost 24 local council since the General Election in July. The have gained 23 and Reform 6.
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Projected Labour losses, according to Nowcast:
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Amber Valley
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Barnsley South
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Basildon and Billericay
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Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North
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Bradford South
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Burnley
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Cannock Chase
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Chatham and Aylesford
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Dagenham and Rainham
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Derby South
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Dudley
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Folkestone and Hythe
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Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes
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Heywood and Middleton North
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Hornchurch and Upminster
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Kingston upon Hull East
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Llanelli
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Makerfield
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North Durham
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North Warwickshire and Bedworth
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Sittingbourne and Sheppey
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South West Norfolk
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Sunderland Central
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Tipton and Wednesbury
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Walsall and Bloxwich
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Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
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Altrincham and Sale West
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Ashford
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Aylesbury
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Banbury
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Bexleyheath and Crayford
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Bournemouth West
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Bracknell
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Brent West
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Buckingham and Bletchley
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Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket
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Burton and Uttoxeter
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Chipping Barnet
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Chelsea and Fulham
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Cities of London and Westminster
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Clwyd North
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Congleton
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Dartford
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Darlington
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Derbyshire Dales
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Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme
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Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard
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Earley and Woodley
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Eastleigh
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Ely and East Cambridgeshire
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Finchley and Golders Green
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Forest of Dean
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Gloucester
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Gravesham
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Harlow
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Hendon
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Hertford and Stortford
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Hyndburn
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Isle of Wight West
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Kensington and Bayswater
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Kettering
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Lichfield
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Lowestoft
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Mansfield
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Mid and South Pembrokeshire
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Mid Derbyshire
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Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland
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Monmouthshire
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Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr
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Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey
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Northampton South
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North East Derbyshire
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North East Hampshire
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North East Hertfordshire
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North Somerset
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North West Cambridgeshire
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Nuneaton
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Pendle and Clitheroe
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Peterborough
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Poole
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Portsmouth North
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Reading West and Mid Berkshire
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Redcar
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Redditch
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Ribble Valley
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Rochester and Strood
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Rother Valley
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Rugby
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Scunthorpe
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South Derbyshire
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South Dorset
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South East Cornwall
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South Norfolk
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Southend West and Leigh
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Stoke-on-Trent South
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St Austell and Newquay
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Stourbridge
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Suffolk Coastal
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Swindon North
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Tamworth