Billionaire Nick Candy is now backing Reform UK. (Image: Getty)
Nigel Farage’s has been handed a massive win after it was revealed that two-thirds of punters have bet on the party winning the most seats at the next .
is due to be held in 2029, but plenty of people already have high expectations and have put their money where their mouths are.
The billionaire Nick Candy defected from backing the to Reform UK yesterday.
Since then, Oddschecker says betting interest in the new political party has “surged significantly”.
The betting aggregator says that 67% of bets placed through the platform in the past 24 hours have backed Reform UK to win the at the next general election.
: [LA]
Nigel Farage was one of five Reform UK candidates who won seats in the House of Commons in July. (Image: Getty)
Reform UK is currently listed as the third favourite to win the election in the betting at odds of 5/2, having opened at 12/1 when the market launched in mid-August.
But, since the betting opened on Oddschecker, the company says that 53% of all bets placed have backed Reform, compared to 24% for the and 23% for Labour.
According to current odds, Reform UK’s implied probability of winning the most seats has “surged” by more than 3.5 times.
However, bookmakers still expect to remain in power following the next election, experts say, with odds of 4/6 indicating a 57.5% probability.
Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party won more than 400 seats at the General Election. (Image: Getty)
In addition, there has been a “notable increase in bets” on Starmer’s , with growing support for him to leave office in 2025.
This has prompted odds to shorten from 3/1 to 11/4. To win a general election, a party needs to achieve an overall majority of 650 seats in the House of Commons.
The Labour Party won 411 of the constituencies in July. Reform UK has five MPs.
Oddschecker spokesperson Leon Blackman said: “Reform UK has already been a dominant force in our political betting markets in recent months, and yesterday’s announcement of Nick Candy’s defection has triggered another wave of market activity. In the past 24 hours alone, 67% of bets placed on the ‘Most Seats’ market has backed Reform UK.
Bookmakers had responded swiftly, cutting the party’s odds from 7/2 to 5/2, marking the shortest price since the market launched in mid-August when Reform UK was available at 12/1. With momentum building, it will be interesting to see how betting markets continue to react to this news in the coming weeks.”